Graduation Rates

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Since the enactment of the federal No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) in 2002, high school graduation rates have gained an increasingly important place in educational policy. For the first time, federal law requires that high schools and school districts be held accountable for graduation rates.

Researchers disagree about how many students graduate from America’s high schools. According to the National Center for Education Statistics, the high school graduation rate in 2000 was 86%. This number, however, includes students who earn equivalency diplomas. Alternative calculations, which exclude students with a GED, place the graduation rate at around 71%. Regardless of which is closer to reality, both implicate a crisis. According to research conducted by the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, between the 9th and 12th grades more than 1 million students will leave school without earning a diploma.

Disaggregated data reveal that high schools do a poorer job serving African American and Latino students than white students. National statistics show the graduation rate for white students is 72% whereas Latino and African American students have just better than a 50-50 chance of completing high school.

As recently as a few decades ago, a high school diploma was a sufficient credential for most low-skill, family-wage jobs. But today, the diploma has declining purchase power; young people need high skills and postsecondary education to succeed. Students who do not graduate from high school are at the greatest risk for a lifetime of low-wage jobs and high rates of unemployment. This not only has personal costs for them, but also has long-term consequences for the nation’s economic future.


This text is based on Oregon Small School Initiative fieldwork and a synthesis of ideas from the following source(s):

Greene, Jay P. (2003, September). Public High School Graduation and College Readiness Rates in the United States. Washington, DC: Manhattan Institute for Policy Research. Available: Click Here

National Center for Education Statistics. (2004, June). Past and Projected Elementary and Secondary School Enrollments. In The Condition of Education 2004 in Brief. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics. Available: Click Here

National Center for Education Statistics. (2004, November). Event Dropout Rates. In Dropout Rates in the United States: 2001, Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics. Available: Click Here

Swanson, Christopher. (2004, February). Who Graduates? Who Doesn’t?
Available: Click Here

A Statistical Portrait of Public High School Graduation, Class of 2001.  Washington, DC: Urban Institute Press. Available: Click Here

U.S. Department of Education. (Not yet published). Preparing America’s Future: Statistical Snapshot of Oregon. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Education.

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Who Graduates? Who Doesn’t?